States

Research has shown that a doubling of the size of the labour market, other things remaining the same, leads to…
This project is part of the portfolio of projects undertaken on aspects of economic growth in the Lahore region including…
The study argues for a data- driven approach in answering challenges posed by political violence. It uses incident level data…
This article argues that a new growth vent in Pakistan requires tapping into external lucrative markets in a manner that will create multiple entre-ports for growth. Such a growth vent will enable the country to achieve a sustained growth path that is not as susceptible to the political vicissitudes of one mega-growth node. This will be good for regional equity…
The article is the first comprehensive attempt at estimating the variation in the incidence, intensity and severity of poverty in the Punjab at the level of sub-provincial regions and districts. This estimation has been made possible because of the availability of the Multiple Indicators Cluster Survey (2003-04), which has a sample that is representative at the district-level. Estimates suggest the…
The authors analyze whether the economic conditions of households that have historically occupied different rungs of the socio- economic hierarchy are converging together or diverging over time. Sustained differences in the capacity of different households to exploit market opportunities will indicate that there is a persistent element to poverty in addition to the transient effect of various shocks. The evidence…
Report on the South Asia Department Economists’ Annual Conference In the 1950s and 1960s, the widely accepted development paradigm was the one in which the Import Substitution Growth Strategy (ISGS) was the key element. ISGS was a product of the distrust that most newly independent countries had for the laissez faire economic models they had been forced to follow under…
At the turn of the century the country was stumbling from one International Monetary Fund to the another as a result of what eminent economist Dr Mushtaq Khan described as “an unsustainable cycle of borrowing and spending” of successive governments. After an acceleration of economic growth from 2 percent in 2001 to a peak of 7.7 percent in 2005 mismanagement…
Chapter 3: The Aid Partnership in Pakistan. In 1947, Pakistan was one of the poorest countries in the world. Since then, with an average growth rate of 5.3 percent per year over the last four decades, the country has started to climb out of the abject poverty it inherited from the British raj. Foreign aid played an important role in…
The objective of this paper is to set out the key components of a development strategy for Pakistan. A fundamental premise of our analysis is that the world economic environment is changing dramatically and a development strategy today must position itself to take advantage of the changes taking place. The paper is divided into five sections: First, we provide a…